Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 12-24 | 0-4 | 13-15 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 23 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 34 | 8-11 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 24 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| CJ Miles | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Norman Powell | 10 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tyler Ulis * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 24 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Josh Jackson * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Marquese Chriss * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 31 | 11-16 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Dragan Bender | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Danuel House Jr. | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Len | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Mike James | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter