Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | โ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.2 | โ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | โ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (89-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 43 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 25 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 31 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Malik Beasley | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathon Simmons * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Vuฤeviฤ * | 32 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Wes Iwundu | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mario Hezonja | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter