Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | +13.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (97-90). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Maxi Kleber * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 24 | 4-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Antonius Cleveland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 32 | 10-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 27 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Theis | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 14 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Abdel Nader | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter