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2017-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 ✓ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (110-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schröder * 39 10-26 1-2 5-6 5 7 2 0 2 26 12 -
Kent Bazemore * 36 1-9 0-2 2-2 6 7 1 0 2 4 7 -
Taurean Prince * 35 6-8 3-5 4-5 6 1 0 0 0 19 18 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 27 4-10 1-5 0-0 7 2 1 2 1 9 10 -
Miles Plumlee * 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Tyler Cavanaugh 29 5-10 2-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 2 13 10 -
Marco Belinelli 28 4-12 2-7 2-2 7 1 0 0 3 12 5 -
DeAndre' Bembry 27 3-6 1-1 1-2 5 3 2 0 6 8 6 -
Isaiah Taylor 15 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 1 1 4 3 -
Luke Babbitt 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 45 9-15 0-4 6-9 15 2 0 1 2 24 25 -
Evan Fournier * 40 12-21 2-3 1-3 4 1 2 0 2 27 11 -
Jonathon Simmons * 40 7-17 1-5 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 15 4 -
Elfrid Payton * 39 3-11 0-5 0-0 5 6 2 1 4 6 5 -
Nikola Vučević * 39 9-19 2-7 2-2 16 4 2 4 2 22 27 -
D.J. Augustin 21 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
Bismack Biyombo 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 3 4 -
Arron Afflalo 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Wes Iwundu 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Shelvin Mack 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Marreese Speights 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter