Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (126-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -3 | - |
| Tyler Ulis * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Marquese Chriss * | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Jackson | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 21 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Alex Len | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mike James | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dragan Bender | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 24 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| CJ Miles | 18 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Norman Powell | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzo Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter