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2017-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks -5 (100-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 38 3-11 1-6 3-3 4 4 2 0 1 10 8 -
Jonathon Simmons * 37 7-14 1-4 1-2 7 2 2 0 3 16 10 -
Evan Fournier * 37 5-12 1-5 9-10 3 4 2 1 2 20 16 -
Elfrid Payton * 34 7-11 0-1 1-1 6 5 2 0 0 15 17 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 34 13-19 1-4 7-7 12 3 0 2 1 34 31 -
Arron Afflalo 18 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
D.J. Augustin 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Bismack Biyombo 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Marreese Speights 9 0-6 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -4 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 35 8-13 1-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 19 14 -
Enes Freedom * 30 8-13 0-0 2-2 16 2 1 0 3 18 21 -
Michael Beasley * 27 10-19 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 21 2 -
Jarrett Jack * 27 4-10 1-1 0-0 4 7 0 0 3 9 7 -
Damyean Dotson * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Doug McDermott 30 1-7 1-3 1-1 5 3 0 0 0 4 5 -
Lance Thomas 20 4-11 0-3 3-4 5 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
Kyle O'Quinn 17 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 3 1 7 7 -
Frank Ntilikina 16 4-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 2 -
Ron Baker 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Ramon Sessions 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter