Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | +6.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +12 (102-90). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 27 | 0-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 21 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 11 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 32 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 27 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Frank Mason III | 19 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Malachi Richardson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jack Cooley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Noah Vonleh * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 21 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ed Davis | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 20 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Evan Turner | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Swanigan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Layman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Collins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter