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2017-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 74.1% 25.9% - ✓
Margin 71.5% 28.5% -5.1 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -3 (113-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Collison * 41 8-13 2-4 12-13 2 8 0 0 1 30 26 -
Victor Oladipo * 33 8-20 3-7 2-2 6 3 1 2 1 21 12 -
Thaddeus Young * 32 2-8 0-1 1-2 6 0 3 0 3 5 3 -
Myles Turner * 32 4-8 0-2 2-2 5 4 0 3 1 10 13 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 28 6-9 4-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
Domantas Sabonis 24 6-10 0-0 1-1 6 4 0 0 3 13 10 -
Cory Joseph 21 4-10 2-3 0-0 1 4 2 1 0 10 8 -
Lance Stephenson 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 0 2 8 12 -
T.J. Leaf 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 39 12-24 3-7 8-9 13 5 0 5 2 35 32 -
Mario Chalmers * 30 4-9 0-4 0-0 4 6 0 0 1 8 8 -
Dillon Brooks * 24 5-10 0-3 1-2 5 2 1 1 2 11 8 -
JaMychal Green * 17 3-4 1-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
James Ennis III * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Tyreke Evans 32 6-15 1-5 5-7 6 9 1 2 2 18 19 -
Chandler Parsons 25 5-7 3-5 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 13 10 -
Brandan Wright 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 0 6 9 -
Ben McLemore 18 5-10 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
Wayne Selden 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 2 4 -

* = starter