Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -4.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -23 (95-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 34 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| James Harden * | 33 | 9-21 | 3-12 | 5-5 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 6-16 | 3-11 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tarik Black | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Demetrius Jackson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Zhou Qi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 23 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Joe Young | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter