Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| JR Smith * | 38 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 11-19 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Green | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Channing Frye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 41 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 21 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris | 12 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter