Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (111-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 22 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 29 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | - |
| John Collins | 26 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nicolas Brussino | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 29 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ish Smith | 18 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter