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2017-11-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Margin 45.6% 54.4% +1.0 โœ“ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 37 11-21 1-5 3-3 11 1 1 0 3 26 15 -
Courtney Lee * 29 3-7 1-2 5-5 2 1 4 0 3 12 9 -
Jarrett Jack * 25 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 6 6 4 -
Michael Beasley * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 4 5 -
Enes Freedom * 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 8 -
Doug McDermott 30 5-9 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 13 6 -
Lance Thomas 22 2-6 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Frank Ntilikina 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 9 1 1 2 6 12 -
Kyle O'Quinn 19 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 8 7 -
Willy Hernangomez 7 4-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Mindaugas Kuzminskas 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Damyean Dotson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 36 8-11 4-6 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 21 16 -
Evan Fournier * 33 9-16 3-6 2-4 2 5 5 1 4 23 16 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 32 9-16 3-6 3-3 5 1 4 1 1 24 18 -
Elfrid Payton * 29 5-9 0-2 1-1 6 11 2 2 2 11 21 -
Terrence Ross * 24 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 6 7 -
Jonathon Simmons 24 6-10 1-1 3-6 2 2 1 0 2 16 9 -
Jonathan Isaac 22 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 0 -
Shelvin Mack 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 1 0 0 9 -
Bismack Biyombo 15 2-2 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
Wes Iwundu 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter