Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -14 (99-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 39 | 11-18 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 31 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Devin Harris | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 16 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nerlens Noel | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 5 | - |
| John Wall * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 13-18 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 26 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tim Frazier | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jason Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike Scott | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter