Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 39 | 16-26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 18 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 33 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Tim Frazier * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tomas Satoransky | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Scott | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 8-21 | 0-5 | 10-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Delon Wright | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 19 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| CJ Miles | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| OG Anunoby | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter