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2017-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.0% 22.0% - โœ“
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic -16 (88-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 28 5-8 3-3 1-2 10 4 0 0 6 14 14 -
Jayson Tatum * 27 5-8 2-4 1-2 4 3 1 0 0 13 13 -
Jaylen Brown * 27 7-13 3-5 1-3 7 1 2 0 3 18 12 -
Kyrie Irving * 27 4-13 0-4 3-4 0 5 1 0 1 11 3 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 23 4-10 0-3 4-4 7 1 2 0 0 12 12 -
Marcus Smart 28 4-12 2-6 1-1 8 8 3 1 2 11 17 -
Terry Rozier 26 2-9 0-3 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
Semi Ojeleye 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
Aron Baynes 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Shane Larkin 9 2-6 0-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
Daniel Theis 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Guerschon Yabusele 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Abdel Nader 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 35 2-14 2-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 -4 -
Aaron Gordon * 34 6-13 1-3 5-5 12 2 1 1 1 18 20 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 32 6-15 1-4 0-0 10 7 2 0 0 13 17 -
Terrence Ross * 29 2-12 0-4 5-5 0 0 1 0 1 9 -3 -
Jonathon Simmons * 21 5-11 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 3 14 4 -
Jonathan Isaac 28 4-8 1-2 0-1 6 0 0 2 1 9 8 -
Shelvin Mack 23 3-8 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 1 3 8 4 -
Mario Hezonja 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Bismack Biyombo 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 4 -
Wes Iwundu 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Arron Afflalo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marreese Speights 3 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter