Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 29 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 26 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 26 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Frank Mason III | 21 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 21 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Vince Carter | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Malachi Richardson | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Skal Labissiere | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 32 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Stanley Johnson * | 22 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ish Smith | 19 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter