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2017-11-01

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 15.7% 84.3% - ✓
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.9 ✓ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.1% 82.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% - ✓

Actual: Boston Celtics +27 (113-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Hill * 23 4-8 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 10 4 -
Zach Randolph * 22 7-14 1-2 1-1 5 2 0 1 1 16 9 -
Garrett Temple * 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 0 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 2 2 -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 19 2-7 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 1 0 6 4 -
De'Aaron Fox 28 2-8 0-0 2-3 3 6 1 0 2 6 6 -
Buddy Hield 26 7-11 2-4 1-1 7 2 3 0 5 17 13 -
Kosta Koufos 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 6 8 -
Justin Jackson 19 2-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Skal Labissiere 16 4-8 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 4 -
Vince Carter 9 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
Malachi Richardson 8 2-3 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Frank Mason III 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 27 8-17 4-9 2-2 0 5 4 0 1 22 13 -
Jayson Tatum * 26 4-7 1-2 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 12 9 -
Al Horford * 25 3-6 1-4 0-0 7 6 1 1 4 7 12 -
Jaylen Brown * 24 7-8 5-6 3-5 6 1 0 0 1 22 20 -
Aron Baynes * 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
Marcus Smart 25 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 8 1 0 2 2 8 -
Semi Ojeleye 22 3-6 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
Daniel Theis 18 4-7 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 1 0 10 14 -
Terry Rozier 18 4-9 2-7 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 12 9 -
Abdel Nader 13 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 1 3 7 4 -
Shane Larkin 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Guerschon Yabusele 6 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter