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2017-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -1.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Margin 65.5% 34.5% -3.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -5 (99-104). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 29 1-9 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
Kemba Walker * 29 7-15 1-5 12-13 2 6 1 0 2 27 19 -
Jeremy Lamb * 28 6-13 1-1 4-6 8 1 0 0 0 17 13 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 27 5-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 10 11 -
Marvin Williams * 25 3-6 1-2 2-2 8 2 0 1 1 9 13 -
Malik Monk 23 5-15 3-7 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 13 5 -
Frank Kaminsky 22 4-9 1-1 0-1 6 2 0 0 0 9 8 -
Dwayne Bacon 19 1-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Cody Zeller 18 4-7 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 3 1 11 14 -
Treveon Graham 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 32 4-15 2-8 0-1 7 2 2 3 2 10 7 -
Mike Conley * 31 4-18 0-7 8-10 2 6 2 0 1 16 7 -
James Ennis III * 24 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Jarell Martin * 22 1-5 0-2 2-4 4 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
Andrew Harrison * 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 7 8 -
Dillon Brooks 31 4-7 1-2 2-3 8 3 0 0 4 11 11 -
Tyreke Evans 30 6-17 2-6 5-5 10 3 0 0 0 19 15 -
Chandler Parsons 19 3-7 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
Brandan Wright 15 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 3 0 8 9 -
Mario Chalmers 15 1-7 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 -

* = starter