Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | +1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | +0.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (122-125). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 40 | 7-23 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 38 | 14-28 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 12 | - |
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| James Johnson * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 29 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Okaro White | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter