Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -11 (106-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 38 | 14-21 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 28 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 37 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Thon Maker * | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| John Henson | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Rashad Vaughn | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taurean Prince * | 37 | 7-20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Mike Muscala * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| John Collins | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Magette | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter