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2017-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 38 6-11 4-6 3-3 8 0 2 2 1 19 19 -
John Wall * 37 7-20 2-7 4-6 2 14 1 1 4 20 14 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 33 11-16 7-9 0-3 10 2 1 1 0 29 27 -
Marcin Gortat * 32 8-16 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 2 1 18 11 -
Bradley Beal * 15 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
Jodie Meeks 27 4-12 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 3 -
Mike Scott 24 4-7 0-1 6-6 7 1 0 0 2 14 13 -
Ian Mahinmi 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Tim Frazier 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 0 1 -
Tomas Satoransky 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 38 9-20 4-9 9-9 11 6 1 2 4 31 27 -
Stephen Curry * 36 7-19 3-13 3-3 5 8 2 0 2 20 14 -
Klay Thompson * 31 8-19 2-8 0-0 2 3 0 2 1 18 5 -
Draymond Green * 16 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 6 0 3 4 3 9 -
Zaza Pachulia * 13 2-7 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Andre Iguodala 31 3-5 0-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 7 8 -
Patrick McCaw 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 4 6 -
David West 15 8-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 16 11 -
Omri Casspi 13 2-3 1-1 3-4 3 1 1 1 1 8 10 -
Kevon Looney 11 4-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 0 9 11 -
JaVale McGee 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 0 5 -
Nick Young 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter