Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (89-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 34 | 11-14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Theis * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 26 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 41 | 10-21 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Thon Maker * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Greg Monroe | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| John Henson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter