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2017-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% +11.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (117-112). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 38 5-18 1-8 3-3 4 9 1 2 2 14 10 -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-18 0-0 6-7 3 6 6 0 3 24 18 -
Serge Ibaka * 27 5-12 1-6 4-4 4 0 0 2 2 15 7 -
Pascal Siakam * 21 9-12 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 20 11 -
Norman Powell * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 2 5 -
Delon Wright 29 2-6 0-4 3-3 6 2 0 1 3 7 7 -
Jakob Poeltl 26 6-11 0-0 0-0 14 2 1 1 2 12 17 -
OG Anunoby 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
CJ Miles 18 3-9 2-8 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
Fred VanVleet 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 38 11-20 3-6 4-6 4 5 1 0 1 29 18 -
Klay Thompson * 38 9-15 4-6 0-0 8 5 1 1 4 22 18 -
Stephen Curry * 37 9-20 4-11 8-8 4 5 3 1 2 30 21 -
Draymond Green * 36 4-7 1-2 6-6 11 6 2 1 6 15 22 -
Zaza Pachulia * 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
Andre Iguodala 30 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 1 0 0 8 -
Shaun Livingston 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jordan Bell 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 6 5 -
Patrick McCaw 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
David West 9 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 8 7 -

* = starter