Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | โ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | โ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | โ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (96-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Buddy Hield * | 22 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| George Hill * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 20 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox | 28 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Skal Labissiere | 25 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Frank Mason III | 17 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Malachi Richardson | 14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Vince Carter | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokiฤ * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Will Barton | 28 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Malik Beasley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter