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2017-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (130-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 37 12-27 4-9 1-2 11 9 1 0 4 29 19 -
Brandon Ingram * 36 9-14 3-4 4-6 2 1 1 1 2 25 14 -
Corey Brewer * 33 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 2 3 0 0 5 6 -
Brook Lopez * 32 6-10 2-5 5-7 11 2 1 0 3 19 20 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 21 5-10 0-1 4-4 6 1 2 2 3 14 12 -
Kyle Kuzma 28 6-7 1-2 2-3 3 2 0 0 0 15 13 -
Jordan Clarkson 17 6-11 2-5 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 17 8 -
Julius Randle 12 2-4 0-0 4-6 1 1 0 0 3 8 3 -
Andrew Bogut 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Alex Caruso 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Tyler Ennis 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Josh Hart 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 9-19 4-8 3-5 11 8 2 0 6 25 21 -
T.J. Warren * 39 9-18 1-3 5-8 8 4 2 0 3 24 17 -
Eric Bledsoe * 29 10-18 3-5 5-8 2 2 2 1 1 28 16 -
Tyson Chandler * 23 5-7 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 1 2 13 14 -
Josh Jackson * 23 4-10 2-4 2-5 0 0 1 0 1 12 2 -
Mike James 22 4-9 1-4 4-4 0 1 0 1 0 13 6 -
Alex Len 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 3 4 6 -
Dragan Bender 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 7 0 1 2 2 3 9 -
Marquese Chriss 17 1-3 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 3 1 5 11 -
Troy Daniels 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter