Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -19 (97-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| JR Smith | 22 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 19 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Iman Shumpert | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Channing Frye | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jose Calderon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cedi Osman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 38 | 15-22 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 30 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Thon Maker * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Greg Monroe | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jason Terry | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Henson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rashad Vaughn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter