Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | -6.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (113-119). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 40 | 8-21 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 40 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 10-25 | 5-14 | 9-10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Patrick McCaw * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 36 | 5-12 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ian Clark | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| David West | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 40 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 39 | 10-23 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 10-23 | 4-13 | 7-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Noah Vonleh | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter