Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Talbot * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Little * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Murphy * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Plouffe * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Brunner | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 18 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. McCray | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Spencer | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Alleyne | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Tokashiki * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. O'Neill * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Langhorne * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jewell Loyd * | 16 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Peterson | 26 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 22 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Swords | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| L. Montgomery | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter