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2017-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.6% 17.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever -20 (67-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough * 20 5-8 2-4 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
Natasha Cloud * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 2 4 -
Elena Delle Donne * 18 5-9 1-2 1-1 2 3 1 0 0 12 9 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt * 14 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
K. Thomas * 14 1-1 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 0 0 4 10 -
Jennie Simms 21 3-9 0-2 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
A. Malott 20 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
A. Taylor 18 4-11 0-0 5-6 4 0 2 1 0 13 9 -
M. Kraker 17 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 11 7 -
Tianna Hawkins 16 5-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 10 11 -
A. Morrissette 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 2 2 -
C. Washington 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 5 7 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Macaulay * 25 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 9 5 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga * 24 2-6 2-5 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
E. Wheeler * 23 5-8 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 12 6 -
N. Achonwa * 19 4-5 0-0 3-3 4 2 0 1 1 11 12 -
Candice Dupree * 11 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
F. Fitzgerald 21 3-10 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 7 4 -
A. Motley 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 0 0 -
S. McKinney 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Erica McCall 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
B. Graves 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
R. Williams 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
N. Colhado 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter