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2017-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: New York Liberty -22 (57-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Tuck 27 5-12 1-5 9-10 5 0 1 0 1 20 13 -
R. Banham 21 1-6 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 4 -2 -
J. Thomas 19 3-6 1-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 7 8 -
K. Faris 18 1-4 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
L. Kizer 17 2-5 0-0 4-4 5 1 2 0 1 8 10 -
C. Williams 17 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 6 6 -
A. Thomas 16 1-6 0-0 1-2 4 3 3 3 1 3 9 -
S. Stricklen 16 2-5 1-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
J. January 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 2 -
D. Adams 10 2-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
B. Jones 10 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
R. Gray 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
J. Jones 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 5 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zahui B. 31 2-10 0-2 0-0 5 3 2 1 2 4 3 -
N. Raincock-Ekunwe 25 0-2 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 0 3 1 5 -
C. Burdick 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
B. Hartley 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
T. Charles 21 6-11 0-0 8-9 9 2 0 0 2 20 18 -
S. Rodgers 15 0-8 0-4 2-2 0 0 2 0 1 2 -5 -
B. Boyd-Jones 15 1-2 0-0 2-10 4 1 1 0 2 4 6 -
L. Allen 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -4 -
R. Allen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
K. James 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 3 1 -
J. Gemelos 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
A. Alston 6 1-1 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter