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2017-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: Dallas Wings +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 26 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
E. Wheeler 25 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 5 3 0 3 7 11 -
T. Mitchell 25 6-13 2-6 1-2 1 2 3 0 0 15 8 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 18 1-4 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
N. Achonwa 18 1-7 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 3 1 6 8 -
C. Dupree 17 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 2 11 8 -
E. Larkins 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 6 9 -
F. Fitzgerald 15 2-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 7 0 -
B. Graves 14 2-7 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
V. Macaulay 10 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
E. McCall 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
N. Colhado 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Diggins-Smith 22 5-13 1-2 2-3 2 5 2 0 1 13 8 -
K. Davis 19 4-10 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 1 4 14 5 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 18 3-4 1-2 3-4 1 2 2 1 2 10 10 -
T. Bias 18 1-7 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 1 3 2 0 -
C. Paris 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 1 6 13 -
A. Gray 16 2-5 2-2 2-3 2 1 2 0 0 8 8 -
B. Lewis 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
E. Phillips 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 2 2 -
G. Johnson 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
K. Thornton 12 3-9 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
J. Hooper 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. Plaisance 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
E. Akhator 10 2-4 0-0 3-7 1 1 1 0 0 7 6 -

* = starter