Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.1 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +46 (113-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hollivay | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 31 | 3-19 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 17 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| O. Chidom | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Morris | 13 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Jarry | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| W. Knight | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Imovbioh | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Osahor | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| A. Jones | 17 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Brunson | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Augustus | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Richardson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Mack | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| M. Moore | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Whalen | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Ting | 12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Perkins | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter