Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nigel Williams-Goss * | 39 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Josh Perkins * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Mathews * | 32 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Przemek Karnowski * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Johnathan Williams * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Zach Collins | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Silas Melson | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Killian Tillie | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 37 | 6-19 | 0-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 37 | 7-19 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nate Britt | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luke Maye | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter