Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Malik Monk * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Derek Willis * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 6 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 38 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Luke Maye | 20 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Nate Britt | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Stilman White | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter