Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 39 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Lucas * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Morgan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Black * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| J. Coleman-Lands | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Jordan | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Williams * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Nick Banyard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Player #3904625 * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Chad Brown | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Laing | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter