Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 39 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Lucas * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Morgan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Black * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| J. Coleman-Lands | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Jordan | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams Jr. * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | - |
| N. Banyard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Player #3904625 * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| C. Brown | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Efianayi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Laing | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter