Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Bryce Alford * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Thomas Welsh * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gyorgy Goloman | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 27 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Malik Monk * | 32 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Derek Willis * | 25 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter