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2017-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 82.4% 17.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.6 โœ— (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moritz Wagner 24 3-10 0-4 1-1 5 0 0 0 2 7 0 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 38 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 2 -1 -
D. Walton Jr. * 37 6-10 3-5 5-5 5 8 1 0 2 20 22 -
Zak Irvin * 37 8-14 2-5 1-1 8 3 0 0 1 19 15 -
D.J. Wilson * 27 4-10 4-8 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 12 13 -
Moritz Wagner * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 7 10 -
Duncan Robinson 28 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
Zavier Simpson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mark Donnal 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ennis * 37 4-8 0-2 2-5 5 3 0 0 2 10 8 -
D. Brooks * 36 5-13 2-4 0-0 4 5 0 1 0 12 9 -
T. Dorsey * 35 7-15 5-7 1-2 3 2 2 0 0 20 12 -
James Bell * 32 7-10 0-0 2-4 13 1 1 2 1 16 22 -
P. Pritchard * 26 1-4 0-2 3-3 6 3 1 0 1 5 10 -
C. Benson 24 2-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 5 2 -
K. Bigby-Williams 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
K. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter