Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (92-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Avery Woodson * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Kethan Savage * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelan Martin | 28 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Lewis | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Pettus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Steven Bennett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Luke Maye | 25 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Nate Britt | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter