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2017-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 98.9% 1.1% -
Bradley-Terry 96.7% 3.3% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 34 7-15 2-6 6-9 8 2 1 0 1 22 17 -
J. Langford * 32 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
N. Ward * 20 5-9 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 13 8 -
A. Ellis III * 17 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
L. Nairn Jr. * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. McQuaid 31 3-8 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 2 -
C. Winston 26 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 8 0 0 3 7 8 -
K. Goins 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
K. Ahrens 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Van Dyk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Mason III * 36 6-16 0-4 8-8 2 5 2 0 0 20 13 -
J. Jackson * 36 9-16 2-5 3-3 3 0 2 2 1 23 13 -
D. Graham * 34 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 4 3 0 2 18 17 -
S. Mykhailiuk * 26 3-5 1-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 9 12 -
L. Lucas * 25 5-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 2 10 13 -
L. Vick 25 3-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
D. Coleby 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
C. Bragg Jr. 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Vang 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lightfoot 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Self 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter