Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Kingsley * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Manuale Watkins * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Barford * | 26 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Dusty Hannahs * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Dustin Thomas * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daryl Macon | 26 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Anton Beard | 20 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Adrio Bailey | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Arlando Cook | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 34 | 2-13 | 2-8 | 4-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nate Britt | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Luke Maye | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter