Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Stewart * | 37 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Boatwright * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. McLaughlin * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. Metu * | 33 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| D. Melton * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Mathews | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Rakocevic | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Aaron | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishmail Wainright * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Manu Lecomte * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Johnathan Motley * | 27 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | - |
| King McClure * | 27 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake Lindsey | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Maston | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Allerik Freeman | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nuni Omot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter