Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ash | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Law * | 38 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| B. McIntosh * | 38 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| S. Lumpkin * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Pardon * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| S. Lindsey * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Benson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Taphorn | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Skelly | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| I. Brown | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Williams-Goss * | 36 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Mathews * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Williams * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Perkins * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Karnowski * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Melson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Z. Collins | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Tillie | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter