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2017-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% -

Actual: Florida Gators +26 (65-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson * 35 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 4 -
L. Perrantes * 32 2-12 0-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 6 -6 -
M. Diakite * 29 4-8 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
J. Salt * 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 1 8 14 -
D. Hall * 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Shayok 21 2-9 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 7 1 -
T. Jerome 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Guy 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Reuter 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Robinson * 31 5-8 2-4 2-5 11 0 0 0 1 14 16 -
K. Allen * 26 2-10 0-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 -4 -
J. Leon * 25 4-8 3-6 3-3 10 0 0 0 0 14 16 -
K. Hayes * 25 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Hill * 24 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
C. Chiozza 28 3-8 1-2 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 7 9 -
C. Barry 17 1-4 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 1 1 7 7 -
K. Stone 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
G. Gak 10 3-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
E. Hester 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Rimmer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter