Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +26 (65-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -6 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Salt * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D. Hall * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Shayok | 21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Jerome | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Guy | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Reuter | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Robinson * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Allen * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| J. Leon * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Hayes * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Hill * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Chiozza | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Barry | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Stone | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| G. Gak | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Hester | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Rimmer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter