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2017-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% -
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Shamet * 36 3-9 1-5 6-8 3 3 0 1 4 13 7 -
M. McDuffie * 34 1-8 0-3 6-6 5 0 0 2 1 8 6 -
Z. Brown * 25 4-5 3-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
C. Frankamp * 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 0 -
S. Morris * 14 4-7 0-1 2-4 6 2 0 1 1 10 11 -
R. Kelly 26 3-5 1-2 1-3 11 1 0 3 2 8 16 -
D. Willis Jr. 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
R. Nurger 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 4 8 -
D. Smith 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Reaves 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Smith * 37 9-17 4-10 3-3 3 4 4 1 2 25 18 -
K. Davis * 33 1-1 1-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
X. Williams * 32 1-9 0-5 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
C. Cooke * 30 1-10 1-3 3-4 5 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
K. Pollard * 23 4-11 0-0 5-7 2 3 1 1 3 13 6 -
D. Davis 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Miller 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
R. Mikesell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Cunningham 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Crosby 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter