Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Shamet * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. McDuffie * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Z. Brown * | 25 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Frankamp * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Morris * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Kelly | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| D. Willis Jr. | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Nurger | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Smith | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Reaves | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Smith * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| K. Davis * | 33 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| X. Williams * | 32 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Cooke * | 30 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Pollard * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Davis | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Miller | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Mikesell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Cunningham | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Crosby | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter