Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +18 (91-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Baker * | 39 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Braxton Huggins * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Eli Chuha * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Matt Taylor * | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Johnathon Wilkins * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jemerrio Jones | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Chancellor Ellis | 14 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine Haley | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tanveer Bhullar | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Joe Garza | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalyn Pennie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishmail Wainright * | 36 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Manu Lecomte * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Johnathan Motley * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| King McClure * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Allerik Freeman | 25 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| T.J. Maston | 22 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jake Lindsey | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nuni Omot | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Davis | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter