Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Fornes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Flemmings * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 37 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Denzel Ingram * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Ambrose Mosley * | 35 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Jordon Talley | 16 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Bryan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Ogbodo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 33 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Guy * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Salt * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Shayok | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| T. Jerome | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Diakite | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter