Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Stewart * | 36 | 8-15 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. McLaughlin * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Metu * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| B. Boatwright * | 24 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Melton * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Mathews | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Rakocevic | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Aaron | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Buggs | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Milton * | 40 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Brown * | 40 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| S. Ojeleye * | 39 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| J. Foster * | 36 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Moore * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter