Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Mitrou-Long * | 39 | 3-16 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Chris Wray * | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Miles Wilson * | 37 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Junior Robinson * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mawdo Sallah * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Greg Alexander | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Will Miller | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sean Gurdon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Glover | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Thurston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Khalid Nwandu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins * | 33 | 2-13 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 37 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Eric Paschall | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dylan Painter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter