Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 38 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| G. Clark * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Caupain * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Washington * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Cumberland | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Q. Moore | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Brooks | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Milton * | 40 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Foster * | 38 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Ojeleye * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Moore * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Brown * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. McDowell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter