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2017-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Toye * 32 4-10 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 11 3 -
Riley LaChance * 30 2-7 1-2 7-7 3 3 2 0 4 12 9 -
Jeff Roberson * 27 3-8 1-3 3-4 5 2 0 1 1 10 9 -
Luke Kornet * 26 1-8 0-5 4-5 8 3 1 3 2 6 11 -
Nolan Cressler * 24 2-5 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
Matthew Fisher-Davis 21 3-8 2-7 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 10 8 -
Payton Willis 19 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
Djery Baptiste 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
Clevon Brown 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dusty Hannahs * 29 5-12 2-5 4-4 1 1 0 1 2 16 5 -
Moses Kingsley * 28 6-10 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 1 3 12 14 -
Manuale Watkins * 27 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 9 13 -
Jaylen Barford * 25 8-17 1-5 1-2 4 0 3 0 0 18 8 -
Dustin Thomas * 17 1-5 0-0 0-1 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 -
Anton Beard 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 4 0 0 2 2 -
Daryl Macon 19 6-10 1-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 2 15 10 -
Trey Thompson 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 2 3 -
Arlando Cook 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Adrio Bailey 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C.J. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter